Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.134909 2.251856 2.377679 2.524232 2.691734 2.879113 3.107404
2025-05-04 2.000675 2.150278 2.318251 2.523836 2.773176 3.072362 3.469884
2025-05-11 1.908227 2.078125 2.274808 2.524624 2.842128 3.246230 3.827331
2025-05-18 1.809999 1.988119 2.198524 2.472601 2.832674 3.311488 4.044823
2025-05-25 1.748195 1.935601 2.161217 2.462350 2.871228 3.440263 4.374747
2025-06-01 1.693598 1.887441 2.124501 2.447498 2.898846 3.553503 4.703830
2025-06-08 1.644467 1.842706 2.088371 2.429059 2.917321 3.652774 5.032954
2025-06-15 1.617239 1.823466 2.082935 2.450274 2.992943 3.849792 5.606137
2025-06-22 1.556208 1.758326 2.013938 2.378396 2.922568 3.796548 5.649552
2025-06-29 1.526159 1.731635 1.994207 2.374054 2.953837 3.919288 6.126619
2025-07-06 1.482322 1.685376 1.946191 2.326237 2.912845 3.908218 6.280348
2025-07-13 1.467228 1.675895 1.947011 2.348580 2.984534 4.112762 7.099377
2025-07-20 1.462252 1.680450 1.968343 2.404395 3.120357 4.477006 8.765379
2025-07-27 1.439513 1.660330 1.954373 2.405837 3.164042 4.664342 10.094375
2025-08-03 1.418383 1.641517 1.941226 2.407384 3.207642 4.862091 11.871738
2025-08-10 1.383557 1.603060 1.898762 2.360742 3.159925 4.838316 12.410979
2025-08-17 1.362220 1.582325 1.880765 2.351633 3.180252 4.984172 14.539050
2025-08-24 1.340829 1.560855 1.860857 2.338256 3.191146 5.109708 17.180140
2025-08-31 1.319618 1.539029 1.839638 2.321573 3.194102 5.216005 20.549859
2025-09-07 1.309956 1.532771 1.840649 2.340825 3.268486 5.541967 33.830577
2025-09-14 1.276874 1.493225 1.791736 2.275587 3.169212 5.337584 29.538567
2025-09-21 1.262314 1.479188 1.780002 2.271642 3.193649 5.514586 47.560712
2025-09-28 1.237368 1.450140 1.745361 2.228113 3.134329 5.420935 48.617170